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Dan Fitch

Bettors seeking Black Eyed Susan picks need look no further. This Grade II American thoroughbred horse race is run at Pimlico Race Course in Baltimore and acts as a precursor to the Preakness Stakes. Read on to discover everything that you need to know about the Black Eyed Susan Stakes.

What is the Black Eyed Susan Stakes?

Black Eyed Susan picks

To give it its full race title, the George E. Mitchell Black-Eyed Susan Stakes is considered the Middle Jewel in the Fillies’ Triple Tiara. This mirrors the Triple Crown of Thoroughbred Horse Racing of Kentucky Derby, Preakness Stakes held at the same racetrack at the Black Eyed Susan, and Belmont Stakes.

The other legs of the Triple Tiara are the Kentucky Oaks at Churchill Downs and Acorn Stakes at Belmont Park, although this year the latter will be run at Saratoga while its home track gets renovated. Although only holding Grade II status, the Black Eyed Susan over nine furlongs on dirt is becoming more and more prestigious with every passing year.

Held the day before but very much a key part of the Preakness Stakes schedule, this is a race on the up. Only three-year-old fillies can take part.

Who are the Favorites for the Black Eyed Susan Horse Race?

It’s too early to know the official list of runners in the Black Eyed Susan Stakes, so there is currently no betting available on the event.

As soon as there are odds available, we will add some information here regarding the favorites for this famous race.

Black Eyed Susan Expert Picks from our Handicappers

Check below where reveal our Black Eyed Susan picks for the 2024 edition of the race. Read on to find out who we favor to win the race, finish in the top three and thus place or show, and the longshots that our expert handicappers think have a chance.

Black Eyed Susan Picks to Win

The most common bet that is placed on the Black Eyed Susan Stakes is for a particular runner to win. You are simply tasked with predicting which horse will reach the finish line first.

Taxed was the winner in 2023 and was a relative outsider, priced at 15/1 on the morning line odds. The third-favorite Interstatedaydream won at 6/1 in 2022, while the 2021 winner was Army Wife at 8/1. As you can see from these recent results, it has been possible to pick a winner at relatively big odds.

It’s a little too early to pick our picks for the Black Eyed Susan Stakes yet, but check back here nearer to the time to find our selections.

Top 3 Finish Black Eyed Susan Horse Picks

If you’re looking for an easier type of bet than predicting the winner on Black Eyed Susan and Preakness Stakes betting sites, then it makes sense to go with either a place or show. If you go for a place, then your bet is for the horse finishing in the top two positions in the race. With a show, meanwhile, it’s a top three finish that you’re looking for.

The payouts are obviously smaller than with a win bet, but should the Black Eyed Susan victor come in at big odds, than they can still be sizeable. An option that many bettors like to go for is an Across the Board wager, which is where you have bets on a selection to win, place and show, at three times the unit stake.

Check back here closer to race time to discover our picks for place and show finishes at the Black Eyed Susan.

Longshots for the Black Eyed Susan

As we mentioned earlier, the 2023 Black Eyed Susan Stakes winner was a relative outsider, available at morning line odds of 15/1.

This was by no means a one-off. Miss Marissa was a 12/1 winner in 2020, Actress was the same price in 2017 and Keen Pauline was a 15/1 shot in 2015.

Take a look at this section nearer the time of the Black Eyes Susan Stakes taking place, to find out what longshots we consider to have a chance in the 2024 race.

Exotic Black Eyed Susan Stakes Picks

Exotic bets are always a popular choice. In this section we’re going to detail our Black Eyed Susan picks for those looking to place the most exotic wagers of an exacta and trifecta.

Exacta Picks

With an exacta, you have to select the horses that will finish first and second in the Black Eyed Susan Stakes, in the correct order. Another option is the quinella, which allows your two picks to finish in any order.

With this being a difficult bet to pull off, the payouts can be large, especially if one or more unfancied runners finish in the top two. In 2023, Taxed won ahead of Hoosier Philly, which generated an exacta payout of $94.80, based on a $1 bet.

Check back here nearer the time of the race, to discover our exacta picks.

Trifecta Picks

A trifecta tasks you with predicting the horses that will finish first, second and third, in the correct order. There is also the option of a boxed trifecta, which covers all six permutations of finish from your three selections.

This is clearly more difficult still and in 2023, a successful trifecta bet paid $270.70, based on a $1 stake. Look back here nearer the time of the Black Eyed Susan taking place, to find our trifecta picks.

What Trends & Stats Go in to Our Black Eyed Susan Picks?

When making our picks for the Black Eyed Susan there were all sorts of factors that we considered. Here are some of the more important ones.

Jockeys & Trainers

Does the jockey or trainer have a strong record in the Black Eyes Susan Stakes? John Velazquez has ridden the winner a joint-record four times, while Javier Castellano delivered in the saddle in 2014, 2015 and 2019. Amongst trainers, Dale Romans enjoyed wins in 2015 and 2016, while Todd Pletcher has had four victories since 2005.

Post Positions

Post position can be an important factor when picking a winner for the Black Eyed Susan Stakes. The horses that are closer to the inside rail have less of a distance to run than those on the outside. That is not to say that the horses drawn wide don’t have a chance. The ones on the fence can get boxed in and there have been winners from wider post positions in recent years.

Prep Races & Trials

There are a series of prep races and trials for fillies ahead of the Black Eyed Susan, which can serve as good indicators. The most obvious example is the Kentucky Oaks, a Grade I race held two weeks before the action at Pimlico.

Speed Figures

Pimlico is a track that rewards fast horses. You won’t get a dawdling pace here. As such, speed figures – which demonstrate the top speed that horses have hit in previous races – can be a valuable resource.

Past performances at Pimlico are definitely worth taking into account as well if the fillies have raced there before. Hot pace figures suggest you could have picked the winner in this race for decent fillies.

How Our Handicappers Make Their Black Eyed Susan Race Picks

Making picks for any horse race requires our handicappers to consider several factors. There is not one indicator that pinpoints a winner, but a marriage of a number of them can point your and our pros in the right directions. Here are some of the things that our handicappers think about:

Class Tells

The pedigree of a horse can be an indicator of success. If the mother (dam) and father (sire) were successful during their racing days and/or have produced other winning horses, then that is certainly something to consider.

Yet it is not more important than the previous results of the horse in question, especially in high-class fields. The records of the trainers and jockeys involved is another aspect that must be thought about.

Analysis of Field

Picking a winner can be made easier by eliminating the horses that you consider to not stand a chance. If a horse doesn’t have at least one of the factors discussed above going for it, then it will be a risk to back it.

Handicappers will also take Black Eyed Susa and Preakness Stakes odds into account. A horse they may fancy to do well, will not necessarily be their pick if they consider the price to be too short. The opposite is true, with handicappers taking a chance on an outsider, if they think that the odds provide value.

External Factors

Just looking at the qualities of the horses involved in the Black Eyed Susan Stakes, is not enough. There are all sorts of external factors that must also be assessed. The weather and the resulting track condition, can radically change the thinking of handicappers. Potential injuries and post positions, are other factors that can result in some last-minute thinking.

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Dan Fitch
Dan Fitch